COVID-19 in Africa: Driver of conflict, or too early to tell?

COVID-19 in Africa: Driver of conflict, or too early to tell?

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COVID-19 has caused disruptions across the globe on a scale not previously imagined. This brief looks at the consequences of the COVID-19 crisis for conflict-affected areas in Africa, as well as measures taken against the pandemic, which are likely to be even more profound and far-reaching. But as the virus continues to spread, the impact of COVID-19 on ongoing conflicts is still uncertain.

The debate is currently divided. On the one hand, we hear more alarmist tones from those experts who warn of ‘expanding footprints’ of mainly terrorist groups while international troops ‘scramble home’, and violent and extremist groups advance. On the other hand, there are more skeptical views, arguing that the effect of COVID-19 on activities of violent and extremist groups remains to be seen, and that there is no evidence that the rise and fall of attacks by violent or extremist groups in recent months is the result of the Corona crisis.


Read the policy brief here.

This blog first appeared on the ECDPM site. 

Author: Sophie Desmidt and Ashley Neat, ECDPM. 

Image courtesy of United Nations Photo via Flickr.

The views are those of the author and not necessarily those of ETTG.

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